Henry

Henry, a great concert pianist, has his life thrown in turmoil the day the love of this life, Maria, disappears mysteriously. He'll then discover the inevitable verdict of life.

Peter Howell: Henry (Yan England): The Canadian entry in this category, it’s a time-shifting memoir of an elderly concert pianist (Gérard Poirier) who is examining the loves of his life as the curtain prepares to close for the last time. As Pond observes, it brings to mind Amour, Michael Haneke’s late-life love story that’s a big feature nominee. This could bode well, or maybe not.

Steve pond:
Call it "Amour" writ small, though without the rigor and discipline of Michael Haneke's minimalist masterpiece. The tale of an old man in a rest home wondering where his wife is, Canadian actor-turned-director England's story is dark and at times purposefully disorienting; the filmmaker uses desaturated color to follow its main character's swings between coherence and hallucination, memory and reality.

The film is sentimental, to be sure, as the audience slowly gets a grasp of the man's situation. But it is also very touching, and it feels substantial and personal, which always help in this category.
My take:
Likeliest winners: "Death of a Shadow," "Curfew"
If voters go for the real world: "Asad," "Buzkashi Boys"
If "Amour" creates a bandwagon effect: "Henry"